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Originally posted by BDWW
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Rogue, the chickens coming home to roost now, are hatchling from the Clinton admin. If you've studied economics you'd know that. It was Clinton that changed FNMA lending guidelines that began the debt fueled spending spree that this country ran with for the majority of the Bush administration. I am not saying Bush didn't do his own part to make things worse or add to it. I am saying the beginning of this mess rests squarely in Clinton's lap.
Blaming Clinton for the mess we are in is like blaming the cops for child porn.
Under Clinton, housing and lending rules were relaxed. I'll give you that. But that wasn't the cause of the big fall of the US economy. It was graft, greed, and fraud. CDO's, backed by nothing more than someone saying it was OK, caused a HUGE economic rift between reality and hosing prices. Since the CDO's were "supposed" to be AAA and A rated, even though they were backed by B rated comodities at best, is what caused the problem. Not to mention that CDO's were issued based on OTHER CDO's that were crap aided the fall of the US economy. When the comodities failed, there was nothing to back them, and people started loosing money. That caused a panic that led to a lot of people wanting their money back before it was time, and illiquidity in the market not seen since the 1930's.
Economincs is all about attitude. There really isn't more or less money, just more or less willingness to spend it. There needs to be a flow of money in and out. The more that money flows the more the economy grows. The less it flows, the worse it does. It is about perception, and that's why it's had to perdict what it will do.
The biggest stimulus for the economy is the one that will make people feel good about spending money again. A direct cash payment (like the Bush stimulus) will only work if people aren't that afraid to spend. Otherwise they will save it. More jobs, a stonger "safety net" for workers and (to a VERY small degree) tax cuts are the best way to move the economy forward. Yes, it sound socialist, I know. I'm not a big fan of big goverment. But sometimes you need to swallow a bitter pill to make the illness go away.
In a kind of tirtiary way, we can blame rising oil prices for the collapse. Those that were "on the brink", i.e. those that were able to make all thier bills, but just barely, we suddenly in over thier heads. That spurred the forclosures to higher levels than "expected", which caused softness in real estate, and began the downward spiral.
More oversight and regulatory authority might have prevented a lot of the "bad" loans from being issued in the first place, but hindsight being what it is, how could anyone know?